The evidence is mixed4 supporting, 4 against, 1 worth knowing
Supporting
matches near a 52-week low, which has beaten the market by +0.45 points over 20 sessions across 47,393 past signals
3 independent kinds of evidence agree today, which is uncommon
revenue grew 18% year on year in the quarter ending 2026-06-30
priced at 18× earnings against an industry median of 23× — 22% below its peers
Against
trading 2% below its 200-day average
down 4% over twelve months
1 of the scans it matches has historically underperformed the market
net margin has narrowed from 36.2% to 30.9% across four quarters
Worth knowing
the rise is short covering rather than fresh buying, which historically runs out when the shorts are done
NHPC sits in Public sector, Central PSUs, Commodities — worth checking whether the whole group is moving together or whether this name is doing it alone.
What would change this read: a close back above 78, its 200-day average.
Assembled automatically from the figures on this page — the scans matched, their measured record, the filed financials, the derivatives positioning and the peer comparison. It is not a recommendation, no one has spoken to the company, and every claim above can be checked against a number further down this page.
What is working, what is not
read from the filings, with the figure behind every line
Working1
Revenue +18.5% year on year, Rs 3,214 cr to Rs 3,808 cr.
+18.5%Rs 3,214 crRs 3,808 cr
Needs watching2
Net margin moved from 35.2% to 30.9%.
35.2%30.9%
Profit grew slower than revenue, +4.1% against +18.5%.
+4.1%+18.5%
Every figure here is computed from the company’s own filings. The wording is generated directly from the figures.
How it has performed
price return over each window, measured against zero
What the scans say today
4 of 47 matched on 2026-08-21
NHPC matches 4 of the 47 scans today, across 3 different kinds of evidence. Three or more independent families agreeing is uncommon — it is the same test the shortlist on every page uses.
NHPC trades at 18× trailing earnings, below its median of 23× over this window — 23% less expensive than usual. The band runs from the 5th to the 95th percentile, so single-day spikes do not set the edges.
This window is short by the standards of valuation history — it begins where four quarters of filed earnings first exist. A stock can look cheap against two years and expensive against ten.
M&A filings were typically +0.23pt vs the market over the next 5 sessions (n=981) · Other filing filings were typically -0.08pt vs the market over the next 5 sessions (n=12,093) · AGM / EGM filings were typically +0.00pt vs the market over the next 5 sessions (n=4,362)
The business
from the company’s filed results
Everything below is taken from the company’s own quarterly filing with the exchange — the XBRL document it submitted, not a vendor’s summary of it. Figures in rupees crore.
RevenueNet profit, drawn inside its revenue barNet margin, own scale belowrupees crore, per quarter as filed. Revenue bars start at zero.
Going for it
revenue grew 18% against the same quarter a year earlier
profit rose 4% year on year
revenue rose in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Going against it
net margin narrowed from 55.0% to 30.9%
Quarter-by-quarter numbers, as filed
Quarter
Revenue
Profit before tax
Net profit
EPS
Net margin
Q1 FY27
2026-06-30 · consolidated
3,808
1,298
1,178
1.09
30.9%
Q4 FY26
2026-03-31 · consolidated
2,816
285
1,549
1.45
55.0%
Q3 FY26
2025-12-31 · consolidated
2,221
-283
321
0.22
14.4%
Q2 FY26
2025-09-30 · consolidated
3,365
1,572
1,219
1.02
36.2%
Q1 FY26
2025-06-30 · consolidated
3,214
1,334
1,131
1.06
35.2%
Q4 FY25
2025-03-31 · consolidated
2,347
1,113
920
0.85
39.2%
Quarterly filings are unaudited unless stated. Consolidated figures are used where the company files both. A single quarter is a noisy thing — the trend across the column is worth more than the top row.
Where the price stands
the same figures every scan on this site is computed from
Trend
Distance from the averages traders watch. Above all of them is a bull phase; below the 200-day is the line most investors use to say otherwise.
Versus 50-day average-2.8%
Versus 200-day average-2.3%
Below 52-week high-14.1%
Above 52-week low+5.6%
Momentum
How hard it has been pushed lately. Above 70 on RSI is stretched, below 30 is washed out — neither is a signal on its own.
RSI (14)30.8
Higher closes in last 52 of 5
Six-month return+0.55%
Risk and liquidity
What a position costs to hold and to exit. Position sizing starts with the daily swing, not with conviction.
Typical daily swing (ATR)1.86%
Volume versus 20-day0.8x
Median daily turnoverRs 55.5 cr
Derivatives
near expiry 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-20
Short Covering
Price up, open interest down. Sellers are closing, not buyers arriving. Rallies built only on this tend not to last once the shorts are out.
Futures basis versus spot-0.30%
Open interest change-12.2%
Put / call ratio0.72
Put wall (support)76
Call wall (resistance)80
Max pain78
How to read this
Open interest is contracts still open, so a rise means new positions and a fall means positions closing. Combined with price direction that gives the state on the left. The walls are the strikes carrying the most open interest near expiry — levels other people are watching, not levels the price is obliged to respect. A future below spot means sellers are paying to be short.
Peers
Power · 21 classified companies
NHPC trades at 17.9× trailing earnings against an industry median of 23.0× across 19 other classified companies in its industry — cheaper than them, by 22%. A multiple is a statement about expectations, not about quality: cheap usually means the market expects less, and it is often right.
largest twelve by market capitalisation. Market cap and P/E need filed financials, so blanks are companies whose filings have not been read yet
Recent sessions
what this stock has matched since the engine went live
This is the live record, not the backtest — the scans this stock actually appeared in on each stored session. A name that keeps reappearing is in a persistent condition; a one-day appearance usually is not.